Every night for nearly a month last year, Reed Roberts woke up at 3 a.m. to check the newest real-time data on something not very many people think about: the melting of Arctic Sea ice. This unusual ...
The investors and money managers who read Institutional Investor may be familiar with Philip Tetlock, a University of Pennsylvania professor of psychology and management. His new book, ...
Hedgehogs get too much glory, political scientist Philip Tetlock has suggested in books such as Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? and the more recent Superforecasting: The ...
These far-sighted individuals don’t have special powers but they do have qualities that mean they are better at predicting the future than other people. The good news is, anyone can improve their ...
History often isn’t kind to those who go on the record making predictions. Albert Einstein once said that nuclear energy would never be a thing, while Margaret Thatcher predicted that a woman would ...
Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like today’s episode, guest hosted by Julia Galef and featuring Philip Tetlock. Listen wherever you ...
History often isn’t kind to those who go on the record making predictions. Albert Einstein once said that nuclear energy would never be a thing, while Margaret Thatcher predicted that a woman would ...
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